Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.127081 0.147008 0.169011 0.195105 0.225209 0.258853 0.299319
2025-11-16 0.096666 0.123673 0.156564 0.199561 0.254308 0.321721 0.411118
2025-11-23 0.079167 0.108636 0.147053 0.200793 0.274066 0.370568 0.507513
2025-11-30 0.067995 0.098795 0.141242 0.203991 0.294459 0.420314 0.609051
2025-12-07 0.057625 0.087990 0.131901 0.200005 0.303062 0.453399 0.689902
2025-12-14 0.049958 0.079750 0.124734 0.197560 0.312640 0.487794 0.775389
2025-12-21 0.044892 0.074633 0.121341 0.199979 0.329252 0.533771 0.882947
2025-12-28 0.042051 0.072584 0.122314 0.209128 0.357149 0.599850 1.029428
2026-01-04 0.038944 0.069627 0.121336 0.214718 0.379475 0.658807 1.170193
2026-01-11 0.036101 0.066724 0.120016 0.219389 0.400460 0.717285 1.316063
2026-01-18 0.033177 0.063285 0.117306 0.221149 0.416245 0.767985 1.453134
2026-01-25 0.029941 0.058860 0.112285 0.218010 0.422539 0.801979 1.562719
2026-02-01 0.026488 0.053668 0.105365 0.210690 0.420489 0.820983 1.647425
2026-02-08 0.024865 0.051873 0.104717 0.215452 0.442361 0.887662 1.832574
2026-02-15 0.023039 0.049435 0.102509 0.216781 0.457409 0.942370 1.999459
2026-02-22 0.021621 0.047667 0.101427 0.220233 0.477055 1.008064 2.195813
2026-03-01 0.019627 0.044425 0.096927 0.215931 0.479813 1.039143 2.322012
2026-03-08 0.017992 0.041778 0.093392 0.213291 0.485793 1.077447 2.467803
2026-03-15 0.016943 0.040326 0.092290 0.215903 0.503626 1.143030 2.681300
2026-03-22 0.016522 0.040274 0.094291 0.225777 0.538972 1.250813 3.002707
2026-03-29 0.015844 0.039534 0.094636 0.231810 0.565997 1.342411 3.296064
2026-04-05 0.015145 0.038661 0.094575 0.236852 0.591174 1.432185 3.594650
2026-04-12 0.014303 0.037334 0.093288 0.238751 0.608882 1.506012 3.862101